Kentucky's Depth Chart And Projected Starting Line Up For The 2014-15 Season: Updated For Return Of Harrison Twins
ByWithout the shocking return of the Harrisons (I thought they were goners for sure, but I suppose they wanted to keep their twin connection alive for at least one more season), the 2014-15 Kentucky basketball team promised to be one of the most interesting and lopsided in recent memory. Six power forwards/centers with right-now NBA talent (as in they could all at least make a roster and sit on the bench) occupied their frontcourt, while not a single meaningful backcourt player from last season was returning. As in year's past, the point guard and shooting guard spots were to be filled by highly regarded incoming freshman, though not quite as highly touted as the Harrison twins or James Young before their freshman season. (Also, Calipari was only bringing in two big-time freshman guards as opposed to last year's three.) Given that none of the four returning big men have polished offensive games, next season's Wildcats had a realistic chance at breaking the single season record for offensive rebounds.
But the Harrisons -- to Calipari's great surprise (not buying that one) -- came back. Suddenly, Kentucky has the most loaded roster in NCAA history. The unofficial depth chart heading into the 2014-15 season:
Guard:
1./2. Andrew Harrison and Aaron Harrison
2. Devin Booker, freshman, 6-foot-5 shooting guard: Number 18 ESPN top 100, ranked 93/100 (top-ranked Jahlil Okafor is a 97, Julius Randle and Andrew Harrison were 97s last year)
3. Tyler Ulis, freshman, 5-foot-9 point guard: Number 25 ESPN top 100, ranked 92/100
4. Walk-ons and benchwarmers: Sam Malone (rising senior, no minutes played last season), Tod Lanter (senior, benchwarmer), Ej Floreal (sophomore walk-on, didn't play first season), Dominique Hawkins (sophomore, played sparingly, ranked 72/100 coming out of high school), Brian Long (senior, benchwarmer). One of these guys might play, but there's a better chance that none do.
Small forward:
1. Alex Poythress, junior, 6-foot-8: Poythress is probably more of a power forward, but he's the smallest of their legion of big man. He should focus on improving his small-game this offseason or drastically improving his big-game. Booker might also have to play some SF.
Power forward:
1. Willy Cauley-Stein, junior, 7-foot: Of the returnees, Cauley-Stein had the highest draft stock and surprised Calipari when he announced his return. He's listed as a power forward, but could play some center.
2. Trey Lyles, freshman, 6-foot-10: He's the sixth ranked recruit in the land, meaning he could start in Calipari's experience-blind system.
3. Marcus Lee, sophomore, 6-foot-9: He didn't play much his first year, but his physicality was impressive in the NCAA tournament games he appeared in because of Cauley-Stein's absence. Still, he was an 89 coming out of high school. Based on that, he waits behind Lyles, for now.
Center:
1. Dakari Johnson, sophomore, 7-foot: Ranked ahead of James Young and Aaron Harrison in high school, Johnson was overshadowed by more advanced big men last season. The center position is his to lose though the incoming freshman were slightly more highly regarded in high school.
2. Karl Towns, Jr., freshman, 6-foot-11: Towns is the ninth ranked recruit of his class and received one more rating point than Johnson. This figures to be a battle for the starting spot though both should see decent court time.
Other big men:
Derek Willis, sophomore, 6-foot-9: A 77 coming out of high school, Willis was among the top 100 recruits last season, but likely won't play much if at all next year. He may want to consider transferring.
Projected starting lineup:
Point guard: Andrew Harrison
Shooting guard: Aaron Harrison
Small forward: Alex Poythress
Power forward: Trey Lyles
Center: Willy Cauley-Stein
That's 16 players, or the same number Calipari carried last year. Either he won't hold tryouts this year or the backend walk-ons will have to compete for limited spots. Whatever happens, those final roster will be the most coveted in college basketball, given the high likelihood that Kentucky wins the title.
I don't know much about Lyles or Towns, Jr., but the more offensive-minded they are the better (for their playing time and for Kentucky). None of the returning big men averaged more than 10 points per game last year, which is in part due to the offensive weapons around them and also in part due to their still developing games.
In light of the glut of big men (and talent for that matter), it might make sense for recruits to more closely monitor a school's draft situation before committing (or delay their decision for as long as possible). Lyles or Towns, Jr. might be wishing they chose another school with less big men to steal their playing time. Conversely, they might welcome the chance to compete against the nation's best in practice every day.